Medical Innovation & Healthcare IT Challenges: A Trip Report (Over 200 Viewers of Cybersecurity Hub Periscope!)

[I wrote this trip report while thinking about today's #HITsm tweetchat, Top 10 Challenges for Healthcare Executives. In my opinion, the top challenge for healthcare executives is managing innovation. In fact, all five #HITsm topics easily pivot to innovation in healthcare. At the end of this post I've (only slightly) rewritten them to emphasize the importance of innovation.]

Imagine combining the 40 best annual HIMSS conference presentations and the 2000 most interesting attendees and speakers. Mix in lots of cool science and conversation about innovation. Then add same night opening games for 2016 NBA Champion Cavaliers (before which they received championship rings) and baseball’s World Series (Indians versus Cubs). Then add robust social media (#MIS2016 on Twitter, over 73 million impressions). You might, might begin to approach the vibe at last week’s 2016 Medical Innovation Summit in Cleveland.

When I was CMIO for an EHR vendor, every time I came back from a conference I’d email around a detailed “trip report”: with whom I spoke, industry trends, specific market intelligent, impressions of demos of competing products, that sort of thing. This trip report is more about local color and vibe. First are ten tweeted photos and a bit of commentary. But there are some “deep thoughts,” to which you are welcome to skip! (Compromise? Slowly scroll though the photos and videos while admiring them?)

In no particular order, here are my top ten highlights.

1. Touring the HIMSS Cybersecurity Hub with question-answering viewers on Periscope.

180+ viewers! (and still rising)

2. “Chuck, I hope this book inspires your love of workflow!” Martin Harris, MD, CIO, Cleveland, Clinic, author, IT’s About Patient Care, McGraw-Hill, 2017.

3. #GoTribe!

4. More than 73 million Twitter impressions on the conference hashtag #MIS2016

5. My annual selfie with John Sharpe

6. Facing fear using virtual reality in the operating room

(I wasn’t even wearing the VR googles and my forehead began sweating during VR simulation of a cardiac arrest!)

7. Experiencing at first hand the raw force of Jonathan Bush…

8. Meeting my hero, nurse maker (maker nurse?) Anna K Young. Here is a link to her TedMed video and Wired article.

9. “Innovation of systems & processes are as important as innovations in pure tech” Cleveland Clinic, Chief Clinical Transformation Officer, Dr Michael Modic

This was a common refrain, as in innovating workflow around medical devices is as important as medical device innovation.

10. Beautiful fall colors on the way to the Medical Innovation Summit from my home in Columbus, Ohio.

Courtesy of Google Glass (which, by the way, will be back, better than ever, however an NDA prevents me from divulging more…)

OK, a series of tweeted images hardly constitute systematic and incisive analysis of the 2016 Medical Innovation Summit. So I will close with these thoughts.

As I mentioned at the beginning of this post, in the old days my trip reports were detailed and blow-by-blow. Truth-be-told, I not sure how many of my colleagues actually read my entire lengthy emails. So I’ll close with more of rumination on innovation in medical technology and health IT.

The name of the conference was Medical Innovation Summit. A synonym of “innovative” is “creative”. I studied computational models of creativity during my graduate degree in artificial intelligence. Every student of creative starts with Wallas’s four stages of creative thought:

  1. preparation,
  2. incubation,
  3. illumination, and
  4. verification.

The Wallas model has been endlessly elaborated, into five, six and more stages. But I like original model the most. During preparation we immerse ourselves in a topic. We learn everything we can. We turn over every rock, figuratively. Eventually, we run out of rocks to turn over, and then we enter a frustrating phase during which we think nothing is happening. Every creative artist, novelist, and scientist has experienced this funk. However, incubation cannot be rushed. Under the surface, subconsciously connections are being made. Finally, often suddenly, a lightbulb goes on over our head. What actually turns it on can seem like a random environmental cue. This is illumination. But having a bright idea is insufficient. It has be vetted and turned into something useful and sustainable. An actual piece of art or fiction. A successful experiment and then, perhaps, eventually, a disruptive industry technology.

I thought of the Wallas model of creativity during the MIS2016 session, The State of Healthcare Innovation. Someone, perhaps from the audience via the MIS2016 mobile app, asked “Why can we get money out of ATM globally but not share med info?”

Panelists went down the line, addressing this question. Then Carla Smith (EVP, HIMSS) pointed out that the first ATM was installed at the beginning of the seventies. And that it has taken almost a half a century to get to the network of ATMs we take for granted today.

Let’s apply the Wallas model of creativity to an entire industry, AKA innovation in health IT.

I think some current frustration with the state of health IT (you know, with interoperability, usability, safety, patient engagement, and so on) is because we are collectively in the important but frustrating preparation/incubation phase. While progress may seem slow, under the surface, under our collective radar, so to speak, important connections and synapses are forming. At venues such as the Medical Innovation Summit and the HIMSS annual conference, and in between, in startups and hubs and pilots, we see illumination. Bright ideas click “ON” (like those figurative cartoon lightbulbs over our heads), but then must be vetted and designed and deployed.

Umm, I think that’s about as far as I will drive that particular analogy, between a four-stage model of human creativity and health IT innovation… But I would like to point the widely displayed logo slash symbol at the Medical Innovation Summit: a lightbulb!

See you today’s #HITsm tweetchat! (every Friday, noon, EST)

HITsm Topics (emphasizing innovation)

Topic 1: What do you think are the main issues and concerns facing healthcare organizations? #HITsm

#1 Innovation

Topic 2: What are some ways to identify and prioritize challenges and issues specific to (innovation in) your healthcare organization? #HITsm

Topic 3: How can you establish an environment that communicates the importance of change innovation and welcomes opinions and new ideas? #HITsm

Topic 4: What are some ways to inform & engage others – in your firm & broadly across industry – in large transformational (AKA innovative) initiatives? #HITsm

Topic 5: Why do you think healthcare innovation lags that of other industries? And what can be done to ameliorate that? #HITsm (this topic didn’t even need to be rewritten!)


@wareFLO On Periscope!

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Actuarial Science, Accountable Care Organizations, and Workflow

Today’s Actuarial Challenge tweetchat is a welcome opportunity to ponder the future of actuarial science, health IT, and accountable care organizations, in a single blog post.

For background, see:

How will Accountable Care Organization (ACO) IT look in 10 years? How will Actuarial Science fit into that infrastructure? How can workflow technology get us there?

I am not an actuary, but I did get Accountancy and Industrial Engineering degrees (on the way to med school!). In doing so I studied fundamental Actuarial Science concepts: economic risk, random variables, time value of money, and modeling and optimizing stochastic processes (stock and trade for actuaries). Eventually I designed and deployed health IT software. But I’ve kept an interest in financial security systems. From Wikipedia:

“A financial security system finances unknown future obligations. Such a system involves an arrangement between a provider, who agrees to pay the future obligations, often in return for payments from a person or institution who wish to avoid undesirable economic consequences of uncertain future obligations.[1] Financial security systems include insurance products as well as retirement plans and warranties.[2]“

Here are my ten-year “What Will ACO IT” Look Like” predictions:

1. ACO enterprise SW will be ‘process-aware’ (workflow engines executing declarative process models). It will be essential for turning actuarial insight into automated ACO workflows, in almost real-time.

2. Stochastic simulation will literally be built into ACO enterprise software. Simulation is already built into many Business Process Management (BPM) workflow platforms. Actuarial simulation and workflow simulation will increasingly complement and even merge.

3. Virtual ACO enterprises will be built across workflow interoperable healthcare subsystem organizations. For extended discussion of task, workflow, and pragmatic interoperability, see my five-part series

4. ACOs will know exactly how much each service line (chronic Dx, procedure, etc) costs. Comprehensive ACO workflow IT platforms will seamlessly drive sophisticated event-driven activity-based cost management systems. Other industries know exactly what their smartphones and vehicles cost. Healthcare needs to do so too.

5. Virtual ACO enterprises will systematically optimize ROI on collections of targeted workflows. If each of predictions 1-4 become true (workflow tech infrastructure, embedded stochastic simulation, pragmatic workflow interoperability, and virtual ACOs), ACO will become truly intelligent learning healthcare systems.

Relative to intelligent learning systems, I should mention another of my degrees, an MS in Artificial Intelligence. Artificial intelligence, machine learning, workflow technology, business process management, and data pipeline management systems are increasingly leveraging each other’s strengths, and in some cases, even merging. While process-aware workflow technologies will increasingly form virtual ACO IT infrastructure, these workflows will be highly “tunable.” The additional data made possibly by workflow technology about what happened when will increasingly feed into stochastic models, which, in turn, will be essential for systematic improvement of workflows both driven by, and generating the data. This is the “intelligent learning” to which I am specifically referring.

I also have a whole bunch of questions! For example, what, exactly, does “stability” mean? (Probability that premiums will be sufficient to claims cash flows?) What is the current state-of-the-art for actuarial simulation? Are “state models” (as in, Markov models of disease progression) routinely used in ACO actuarial calculations? And so on.

For now, I’ll just close with some thoughts on the intersection among actuarial science, accountable care, and my favorite topics: healthcare workflow and workflow technology!

What is the connection between workflow, workflow technology, actuarial science, and accountable care?

I’ve taken entire courses in workflow. I’ve looked at hundreds of definition of workflow. The following is what I eventually “settled” upon.

“Workflow⁰ is a series¹ of steps², consuming resources³, achieving goals⁴.”

⁰ process
¹ thru graph connecting process states (not necessarily deterministic)
² steps/tasks/activities/experiences/events/etc
³ costs
⁴ benefits

Workflow technology is any technology that represents workflow as a model, explicitly (declaratively) or implicitly (neural network weights), and operates on the model/representation to automatically execute workflows or automatically support human execution of workflows. Academic workflow researchers call these “process-aware information systems.” The best know PAIS are BPM systems. However process-aware workflow tech is rapidly appearing in IT systems, such as Customer Relationship Management systems (CRM) and data and language “pipeline” platforms not typically referred to as BPM systems.

If one modifies my definition of workflow, though within my subscripted limits, to…

Process is a series of events, consuming expected resources, achieving expected benefits

…you arrive at a stochastic process closely resembling actuarial science’s generalized individual model (page 35 in Fundamental Concepts of Actuarial Science).

During my student days, we spent a lot of time estimating parameters and distributions, and then predicting behaviors of these stochastic processes. Sometimes we did so analytically with complicated equations (Markov Models). Sometimes we fell back on computer simulation (Monte Carlo).

A quick review of actuarial science literature indicate many of these same techniques are used today. I found questions about them on actuarial science exams and interesting papers by actuarial science researchers. I’ve appended links to some examples at the end of this post.

By the way, I believe my five predictions are incredibly relevant to a very topical topic: MACRA’s “virtual groups.” So I’ll close with this quote (stretches in italic due to me).

Virtual Groups

“…the MACRA Proposed Rule will likely put pressure on solo practices and small group practices, while favoring large groups.

Fortunately, the MACRA legislation offers a possible “salvation” for solo practitioners in that the rule allows for the formation of “virtual” groups. This would presumably enable smaller practices to band together (virtually) and to function as a larger group, spreading risk and potentially taking advantage of APMs and other benefits the MACRA legislation offers larger practice groups.

Unfortunately, CMS has decided that virtual groups, while mandated by law, were too complicated to set up. Consequently, it is proposing to delay the implementation of virtual groups until 2018.

What is especially ironic about this is that CMS states that virtual groups will be delayed due to the difficulty of establishing an efficient and effective “technical infrastructure” by the beginning of the 2017 performance period. Yet (of course) providers and software vendors are granted no such relief, even though they too will have “technical infrastructure” needs that will have to be enabled in their EHRs in that same restrictive timeframe.

The net result is that without the relief of virtual groups, the majority of small and solo practitioners may be even more unlikely to meet the MIPS standards during 2017, and are more unlikely to avoid penalties being assessed in 2019.”

What’s my point? Well, my predictions are ten years out, and therefore not likely to benefit small medical practices next year. However, I do think the concepts I invoke — virtual ACOs, pragmatic workflow interoperability, true costs, intelligent learning systems — are highly relevant in the long run. Therefore, even when fighting short-term fires, we need to keep our eye on long term goals, and paths to those goals.

Relevant to the #ActuarialChallenge, virtual intelligent learning ACOs will require actuarial science knowledge and experience to be successful. But, I also firmly believe, actuaries must leverage workflow technology to achieve the kind automatic, transparent, flexible, and systematically improvable workflow necessary to merge actuarial science secret sauce directly into ACO IT infrastructure.


@wareFLO On Periscope!

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P.S. Here are some links and resources I consulted while writing this blog post.

Fundamental Concepts of Actuarial Science (fantastic introduction to AS if you hate math)

Introduction to Actuarial Science (edX course: videos, but also PDFs, ends with Monte Carlo simulation of life insurance)

Health Insurance: Basic Actuarial Models (Amazon, heavier going, but Fundamentals monograph and Intro edX course are good prereqs)

Society of Actuaries 2014 Exam MLC Models for Life Contingencies (includes questions about multiple state models)

Actuarial Calculations Using a Markov Model

Critical Review of Stochastic Simulation Literature and Applications for Health Actuaries

Stochastic Process (Wikipedia)

Constructing Probabilistic Process Models based on Hidden Markov Models for Resource Allocation (process mining to estimate state model transition probabilities)

Mathematical modelling of social phenomena

An actuarial multi-state modeling of long term care insurance

Estimation of disease-specific costs in a dataset of health insurance claims and its validation using simulation data

How Predictive Modeling Is Helping Employers Gain Control of Health Care Costs

Stochastic Modeling in Health Insurance

The ACO Conundrum: Safety-Net Hospitals in the Era of Accountable Care(Lean Six Sigma to ID and eliminate inefficient processes)

CMS ices reinsurers out of an ACO program

“The group practices were unable to track and manage the fluctuations in risk, and many went out of business. In recent years, organizations have tried to develop better cost tracking systems”

Multiple State Models

Actuarial Uses of Health Service Locators

Estimation of disease-specific costs in a dataset of health insurance claims and its validation using simulation data

HOW PREDICTIVE MODELING IS HELPING EMPLOYERS GAIN CONTROL OF HEALTH CARE COSTS

Transforms the Insurance Industry with Cloud Modeling Platform

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2016 National Health IT Week Blab, I Mean Firetalk, Was Fun! 23 Participants, 50 Comments (w/@MichaelGaspar)

For the second year in a row I hosted a group social video chat. Last year it was Blab (Replay Mid National Health IT Week Blab: Many Thanks to Participants!), this year Firetalk. We had 23 participants, from all of the world, including New Zealand and India. For a bit more information about how well Firetalk replaces Blab, Firetalk Group Social Video Chat as a Replacement for Blab in the Health IT Social Media Community.

If you join Firetalk, please create a channel and publicize it (on Twitter, obviously) so we can all subscribe to each other! I’m at http://firetalk.com/wareflo.


@wareFLO On Periscope!

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How Easy Is It To Integrate Availity APIs Into Your Payer-Provider Workflow? Very!

[I am writing this blog post in preparation and support for the upcoming #AskAvaility tweetchat Optimizing Payer and Provider Communications hosted by @shimcode and @HIT_MMartin(@Availity), at 1PM EST, Friday, September 30!]

The following (non-HIPAA sensitive) structured data was pulled across the Availity API (@AvailityAPI) into this blog post via execution of PHP in real-time when you viewed this post in your Web browser. (API stands for Application Programming Interface.)

Member Info (JSON string)nn

Member Info (JSON object)

object(stdClass)#367 (6) {
["firstName"]=>
string(4) “ZENA”
["lastName"]=>
string(6) “MARDIN”
["memberId"]=>
string(4) “H123″
["gender"]=>
string(6) “Female”
["genderCode"]=>
string(1) “F”
["birthDate"]=>
string(28) “1942-09-15T04:00:00.000+0000″
}

Member Info

ZENA
MARDIN
Female
1942-09-15T04:00:00.000+0000
BCBSF
1234567893

Back when I was a CMIO/programmer, we integrated a lot of third-party services with our EHR. In fact, we were constantly contacted by vendors and customers to integrate with this or that partner. We asked two questions of ourselves. Does it serve a need? How easy is it to add to our IT workflows? Clinicians and business people answered the first question. Programmers answered the second.

What’s the best way to see how easy it is to integrate a third-party into your health IT workflows? By taking a quick whack at it. See how far you can get with only a minimum amount of effort. In other words, the proof is in the (eating of the) pudding. It’s the only certain way to tell for sure whether the pudding is tasty, or the integration is (potentially) easy.

proof-is-in-the-pudding400

Sometimes, over a long weekend, a programmer (sometimes, me) sat down with an SDK (Software Development Kit) just to take a wee keek (as the Scottish say), and showed up Monday morning with a working prototype! This put a very different spin on the first question. Instead of a manager saying, sorry, we already have too many other priorities, they said, how soon can you finish this so we can sell it…

So, this morning I logged into the Availity - Developer Center for Health Care APIs to take a whack at it. I wanted to see how easy and fast it is to pull structured data into this blog post, using PHP (in which WordPress is written). It didn’t take very long at all! At the beginning of this post you saw a subscriber JSON string, a PHP JSON object, and name, gender, birth date, payer, and requesting physician NPI.

By the way, here is some entertaining context! (At least to me…) I attended the AHIP Institute this spring and I did what I (almost) always do. I search every website of every exhibitor for evidence they use workflow technology (workflow/process/orchestration engines, editors, mentions of Business Process Management, and so on). I tweeted I was doing so and then I tweeted what I found.

In the mean time Availity is waving its Twitter hand and tweeting: us, us, us! If you are interested in healthcare workflow, you have just got to come talk to use about our API platform and how it’s used to improve payer/provider workflow. The following is from my post AHIP Institute blog post, AHIP Institute Trip Report: Business Process Management & Workflow Engines.

Availity

The following conversation was interesting because Availity wasn’t actually on my initial list. However, they saw me tweeting about AHIP vendors and workflow and basically demanded I come to their booth. I’m glad I did. As Mark Martin explained, they provide the APIs (and a portal) that can be consumed by workflow tech. In fact, if you think about it, even if you have the best workflow engine in the world, you still need data to achieve whatever strategic goal you set. Availity goes beyond currently, typically available standard APIs to empower necessary administrative workflow between healthcare organizations. I love it. Thank you for your enthusiasm, seeing my #AHIPinstitute tweets, and reaching out about this important topic.

When it comes to healthcare APIs, the proof is in the (eating of the) pudding!

Yum!

Thanks Availity!


@wareFLO On Periscope!

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Communication Ethics in Healthcare and Health IT

WHAT TO SAY WHEN THE WRONG THING WAS SAID

Today’s #HCLDR (Healthcare Leadership) tweetchat topic, What to Say When the Wrong Thing Was Said, hosted by @researchmatters, reminds me of a paper I wrote and presented over two decades ago (in Hong Kong!): Communication Ethics and Human-Computer Cognitive Systems. I discuss communication ethics and its relevance to designing intimate human-technology interfaces. My paper is mostly about humans using and communicating with intelligent tools, from intelligent prostheses to smart robots. In this post I retrieve some of those ideas and apply them to ethical human-to-human communication.

Communication Ethics

“Communication ethics, traditionally, involves the nature of the speaker (such as their character, good or bad), the quality of their arguments (for example, logical versus emotional appeals), and the manner in which presentation contributes to long term goals (of the individual, the community, society, religious deities, etc.) (Anderson, 1991 [in Conversations on Communication Ethics]). These dimensions interact in complex ways”

conv-comm-ethics-300

“Consider Habermas’s (1984) ideal speech…. Communication acts within and among cognitive systems should be comprehensible (a criteria violated by intimidating technical jargon), true (violated by sincerely offered misinformation), justified (for example, not lacking proper authority or fearing repercussion), and sincere (speakers must believe their own statements). These principles can conflict, as when an utterance about a technical subject is simplified to the point of containing a degree of untruth in order to be made comprehensible to a lay person. Thus, they exist in a kind of equilibrium with each other, with circumstances attenuating the degree to which each principle is satisfied.”

Medical Ethics

“Four principles—observed during ethically convicted decision making—have been influential during the last decade in theorizing about medical ethics (Beauchamp & Childress, 1994): beneficence (provide benefits while weighing the risks), non-maleficence (avoid unnecessary harm), self-autonomy (respect the client’s wishes), and justice (such as fairly distribution benefits and burdens, respect individual rights, and adherence to morally acceptable laws). People from different cultures and religions will usually agree that these principles are to be generally respected, although different people (from different cultures or ethical traditions) will often attach different relative importance to them.”

Pragmatic Interoperability

In another series of posts (five parts! 10,000 words!) I wrote about the concept Pragmatic Interoperability. Key to pragmatic interoperability is understanding goals and actions in context, and then communicating in a cooperative fashion. Healthcare professionals are ethically required to cooperate with patients. Implicature part of the linguistic science of cooperative communication.

“We’ll start with implicature’s core principle and its four maxims.

The principle is:

“Be cooperative.”

The maxims are:

  • Be truthful/don’t say what you lack evidence for
  • Don’t say more or less than what is required
  • Be relevant
  • Avoid obscurity & ambiguity, be brief and orderly”

I think most, or all, of the above ideas are relevant to figuring out that to say next, when the wrong thing was said. I will be looking for examples during the Healthcare Leadership tweetchat.

Healthcare Leadership Tweetchat Topics

T1 Beyond classical adverse events like wrong-site surgery or incorrect medication dose, adverse communication events can also occur in healthcare. What types of troubling or harmful communication issues have you experienced that affected your care?

T2 Perceptions vary. Patients may perceive something as a problem, whereas the healthcare team just sees business as usual. How can patients help clinicians understand that perceived problems are as important as actual problems?

T3 What steps can help (quickly) establish rapport between health care practitioners and patients so that if communication goes off-track, each is better equipped to address the problem or perceived problem?

T4 If nurses or other care team members observe poor communication between a physician and patient, what is their obligation–how should they attempt to address the situation?

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